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HomeMy WebLinkAboutPED 2020-12-07 Item 1B - Discussion - Seattle Southside Regional Tourism Authority City of Tukwila Allan Ekberg, Mayor INFORMATIONAL MEMORANDUM TO: Planning and Economic Development Committee FROM: Brandon Miles, Business Relations Manager CC: Mayor Ekberg DATE: December 1, 2020 SUBJECT: Seattle Southside Regional Tourism Authority, Return on Investment ISSUE Presentation on the return of investment reported by Seattle Southside Regional Tourism Authority (SSRTA). BACKGROUND At a previous City Council meeting there was interest in the return of investment reported by SSRTA, specifically as to how it would relate as the City develops key performance indicators for Experience Tukwila and how it was calculated. Staff requested that SSRTA provide a write up to the City Council with information on its return on investment (see attached). Staff has not conducted a detailed review or analysis of the information presented by SSRTA and is providing it to the Council as presented by SSRTA. FINANCIAL IMPACT N/A RECOMMENDATION Discussion only. ATTACHMENTS  Estimated 2019 RTA Return on Investment (document prepared by SSRTA). 57 58   Estimated 2019 RTA Return on Investment    Notes regarding ROI:   The RTA influences much more return on investment than what is calculated below, however,  some fundamental work of any marketing organization (public relations, social media, some  advertising, brand awareness , etc.) cannot be tracked and tied directly to spend without  conducting conversion studies. Issuing conversion studies for every activity would be cost  prohibitive and therefore the RTA is strategic about which studies are conducted.   The RTA adheres to the industry standards for calculating ROI established by the national  association for DMOs, Destinations International. In addition, the RTA includes in its ROI  calculation only spending as measured at the destination level, not a national average.   The RTA invests in multiple research firms to conduct studies on evaluating spend in Seattle  Southside. This data is compared and analyzed internally, and the most conservative results are  used in the below calculations.   ROI CALCULATION  VISITOR SPEND   1) Website: 540,182 unique users' x 28% conversion = 151,251 travel party x  $1,039 trip average spend =    $     157,149,789   2) Group Sales: 10,774 room nights x $438 average daily spend =     $         4,719,012   3) Ad Attributed Hotel Sales: 34,223 room nights x $438 average daily spend =    $       14,989,674   4) Shuttle Services: 24,619 riders x $172 average =    $         4,234,468     $     181,092,943     Total Estimated Visitor Spend = $181,092,943 / 2019 RTA Total Operating  Expenditures* $4,325,719 =  $                 41.86     1. WEBSITE  (A) 540,182 unique users x (B) 28% conversion = (C) 151,251 travel party x (D) $1,039 trip average  spend = $157,149,789 visitor spend  A. The number of unique users is derived from Google Analytics tracking of our website. This  means that 540,182 different people (differentiated by their IP Address) visited our website in  2019.  B. The 28% website conversion rate was determined by an H2R Market Research study conducted  in 2019 (see H2R Market Research, page 4). H2R surveyed people who visited our website to  59 determine the number that actually booked a stay in Seattle Southside which establishes this  conversion rate.  C. 28% of the unique users equals 151,251 overnight trips to Seattle Southside. From Dean Runyan  Research, the average overnight trip includes 2.1 people (aka. travel party) so we can determine  that one person visiting the website (unique user) represents a travel party (see Seattle  Southside Travel Impacts, page 5).  D. From Dean Runyan Research, the average travel party that visits Seattle Southside spends  $1,039 per trip (see Seattle Southside Travel Impacts, page 5). Dean Runyan Research analyzes  multiple data sources to determine these estimates, including WA State Dept of Revenue  lodging tax data, sales tax receipts, etc. We use the ‘trip average’ instead of the ‘daily rate’  spend because the 28% conversion rate reports that the unique user booked an overnight trip,  not simply one night in a hotel.  2. GROUP SALES  (A) 10,774 room nights x (B) $438 average daily spend = $4,719,012 visitor spend  A. Based on reports from host hotels and meeting planners, 10,774 projected rooms occurred in  2019 for events the RTA supported through lead generation or event assistance.    B. Dean Runyan Research reports that $438 is spent per day by a travel party staying overnight  (the average overnight room includes 2.1 people, aka. “travel party”, also according to Dean  Runyan Research (see Seattle Southside Travel Impacts, page 5).  3. AD ATTRIBUTED HOTEL SALES  (A) 34,223 room nights x (B) $438 average daily spend = $14,989,674 visitor spend  A. A marketing campaign conducted with digital advertising media partners in 2019 resulted in  34,223 room nights booked as a direct and trackable result of the campaign.  B. Dean Runyan Research reports that $438 is spent per day by a travel party staying overnight  (the average overnight room includes 2.1 people, aka. “travel party”, also according to Dean  Runyan Research (see Seattle Southside Travel Impacts, page 5).  4. SHUTTLE SERVICES  (A) 24,619 riders x (B) $172 average = $4,234,468 visitor spend  A. The Westfield Shuttle service provider tracks ridership and reported 24,619 riders in 2019.  B. According to the Shuttle Bus Economic Impact Study conducted through shuttle rider surveys by H2R  Research, the average rider spends $172 per trip to Westfield Southcenter (see Shuttle Bus Impact Study,  page 4).       *Actual expenses shown on Audited Statement of Activities, which includes depreciation and other reported expenses such as  compensated absences. In addition, it excludes capital expenditures but reported on Statement of Net Position  60 H2R Market Research Reveal Your Customer’s Full Experience 2018-2019 Digital Media Conversion Study Seattle Southside RTA Delivered August 2019 6 1 2 Overview Executive Summary Purpose. The purpose of the Seattle Southside RTA 2018/2019 Digital Media Conversion Study was to measure the conversion rate of website visitors who booked an overnight trip to the area, as well as identify motives for website visitation and what Seattle Southside visitors do while visiting the area. Target Audience. The Seattle Southside RTA Digital Media Conversion Study survey was conducted among website visitors who visited www.seattlesouthside.com over the past 12 months. Sample. A total of 235 respondents both visited the website and were subsequently interviewed for this study which provides for a maximum margin of error of +/-6.4% at a 95% confidence interval. 6 2 Executive Summary 2018-2019 Digital Media Conversion Study 6 3 4 ▪A majority (72%) of the Seattle Southside website visitors had already decided to make a trip to the area when they visited the website—a 4-point increase over 2015/2016. Most of these website visitors were looking for activities to do in the area (80%, +24 pts), dining options (55%) and/or events and festivals (52%). ▪More than 8 in 10 website visitors feel the Seattle Southside website is a good/great website that is somewhat/very easy to navigate—on par with the 86% who said the same in 2015/2016. ▪The Seattle Southside website earned a conversion rate of 28%. That is, 28% of website visitors who visited the Seattle Southside website ultimately ended up booking an overnight trip to the area afterwards. In 2015/2016 the conversion rate was 34%, or 6 points higher than this year. ▪Website visitors indicated their experience online impacted them in several ways. Nearly half (47%) indicated their visit to the website persuaded them to visit attractions or restaurants they had not planned to visit, 20% said they visited Seattle Southside instead of another destination and 15% said their experience on the website persuaded them to stay longer in the area than they planned. Website Generates Positive Results 4 6 4 5 ▪More than 9 in 10 Seattle Southside visitors* spent the night in the area on their most recent trip (+2 pts). And, the average length of stay among Seattle Southside visitors* was 3.8 nights—an increase over 2015/2016’s length of stay at 3.7 nights. ▪Most Seattle Southside visitors indicated they were visiting the area for vacation/leisure purposes (58%), and the majority reported staying in hotels (69%). The average converted visitor participates in a variety of area activities including the Space Needle (12%) and Pike Place Market (10%). ▪In a shift from 2015/2016, most converted visitors this year were under the age of 55 and were significantly more likely to be families with children (+26 pts). ▪Nearly three-quarters of non-visitors** indicated they are Seattle Southside prospects, or “considerers,” who are somewhat/very likely to visit the area in the next six months. These respondents, however, have not yet booked a trip and fewer than half (43%) said they had considered it in the past. Visitor Composition Changes 5*Website visitors who booked an overnight stay**Website visitors who did not book an overnight stay 6 5 Reveal Your Customer’s Full Experience Thank You! Springfield | Branson | Bentonville | Kansas City www.h2rmarketresearch.com | 417.877.7808 @H2RMktResearch 6 6 SEATTLE SOUTHSIDE Travel Impacts, 2003-2019p May 2020 67 SEATTLE SOUTHSIDE TRAVEL IMPACTS, 2003-2019P TUKWILA, SEATAC, & DES MOINES Prepared for the Seattle Southside Regional Tourism Authority 3100 S. 176th Street Seattle, Washington 98188 Prepared by Dean Runyan Associates, Inc. 833 S.W. Eleventh Avenue, Suite 920 Portland, Oregon 97205 (503) 226-2973 www.deanrunyan.com May 2020 68 DEAN RUNYAN ASSOCIATES PAGE 1 SEATTLE SOUTHSIDE TRAVEL IMPACTS, 2003-2019P TUKWILA, SEATAC & DES MOINES This study, prepared for Seattle Southside Regional Tourism Authority, documents the economic significance of the travel industry in the Seattle Southside area of King County from 2003 through 2019. The estimates for 2019 are preliminary. The separate estimates for Tukwila, SeaTac and Des Moines are reported at a summary level for 2019 only. Overnight visitor volume estimates and average spending estimates for the larger Seattle Southside are also provided in this report. REPORT CONTENTS The main body of this report contains five sections: • Seattle Southside Travel Trends (annual estimates of economic impacts and lodging sales for the larger Seattle Southside) • Travel Impacts in Des Moines, SeaTac and Tukwila (summary estimates for 2019p, only) • Visitor Volume (major trends and characteristics) • Detailed Spending and Visitor Volume Tables • Detailed Impact Tables The report also contains appendices that provide an overview of methodology and definitions of terms and concepts. INTERPRETATION OF IMPACT ESTIMATES Users of this report should be aware of the following with respect to the interpretation of these estimates: • All monetary estimates in this report are expressed in current dollars. There is no adjustment for inflation. • Sub-county estimates such as contained in this report are necessarily less reliable than county and state level estimates because of data limitations. Nonetheless, these estimates were generally prepared with the same methodology used to estimate county and state level travel impacts and visitor volume. 69 DEAN RUNYAN ASSOCIATES PAGE 2 $0 $50 $100 $150 $200 $250 $300 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 Lo d g i n g S a l e s ( M i l l i o n s ) SEATTLE SOUTHSIDE TRAVEL TRENDS Travel spending in the Seattle Southside increased by 2.3 percent from 2018 to 2019p. Travel-generated earnings and tax receipts also increased. This was the tenth consecutive year of growth in the Seattle Southside travel industry. Spending Earnings Employment ($Millions) ($Millions)Local State Total 2003 395.9 124.3 4,480 15.3 21.4 36.7 2004 422.5 130.2 4,540 16.2 22.7 38.9 2005 461.4 141.9 4,790 17.8 24.5 42.3 2006 486.9 146.8 4,720 22.7 25.6 48.3 2007 528.0 157.7 4,880 25.2 27.7 52.9 2008 532.3 158.0 4,810 25.7 27.6 53.3 2009 463.9 149.5 4,530 22.7 24.9 47.6 2010 473.5 147.6 4,350 22.7 25.1 47.9 2011 504.9 149.8 4,340 24.0 26.4 50.4 2012 537.5 157.2 4,460 25.7 28.2 53.9 2013 564.6 169.2 4,640 27.3 29.7 57.0 2014 620.5 184.5 4,840 30.3 32.5 62.8 2015 665.0 194.7 4,870 33.3 35.1 68.3 2016 690.5 203.2 4,910 34.9 36.9 71.8 2017 721.2 211.8 4,950 36.5 38.6 75.1 2018 770.3 230.0 5,120 38.5 40.8 79.2 2019p 787.9 240.3 5,110 39.1 41.8 80.9 Annual Percentage Change 17-19p 2.3 4.5 -0.2 1.6 2.5 2.1 03-19p 4.4 4.2 0.8 6.0 4.3 5.1 Seattle Southside Travel Trends Tax Receipts ($Millions) Seattle Southside Lodging Sales Lodging sales (in current dollars) were $281.6 million in 2019 (preliminary), an increase of 0.2 percent over 2018. Source: Washington State Department of Revenue. Lodging sales calculated from 1% Additional Hotel/Motel tax for Des Moines, SeaTac and Tukwila. 70 DEAN RUNYAN ASSOCIATES PAGE 3 Des Moines, $10.9 SeaTac, $186.8 Tukwila, $83.4 TRAVEL IMPACTS IN DES MOINES, SEATAC AND TUKWILA The preliminary 2019 impact estimates for the three cities within the Seattle Southside are shown below. Lodging sales are shown in the pie chart. In general, these estimates are a function of lodging sales, the number of private homes for visiting friends and relati ves, and the volume of sales in other types of establishments that serve visitors (e.g., restaurants, entertainment and retail). (Note: These small area estimates are necessarily less reliable than the estimates for the larger Seattle Southside due to data limitations.) Travel Tax Receipts Spending Earnings Employment Local State Total ($Million)($Million)(jobs)($Million)($Million)($Million) Des Moines 49.4 15.7 330 2.5 2.6 5.1 SeaTac 311.0 101.5 2,130 15.4 16.5 31.9 Tukwila 427.5 123.1 2,650 21.2 22.7 43.9 Seattle Southside 787.9 240.3 5,110 39.1 41.8 80.9 Travel Impacts within Seattle Southside, 2019p Lodging Sales within Seattle Southside 2019p Source: Washington State Department of Revenue. Lodging sales calculated from 1% Additional Hotel/Motel tax for Des Moines, SeaTac and Tukwila. Although Tukwila has the greatest estimated visitor spending, SeaTac has 66 percent of all lodging sales. However, its share of visitor-related sales in food services, entertainment and retail is comparatively smaller. 71 DEAN RUNYAN ASSOCIATES PAGE 4 3.0 3.1 3.2 3.3 3.4 3.5 3.6 3.7 3.8 3.9 4.0 4.1 4.2 03 05 07 09 11 13 15 17 19p Vi s i t o r N i g h t s ( M i l l i o n s ) 0%20%40%60%80%100% Washington State King County Seattle Southside 4.0 4.5 5.0 5.5 6.0 6.5 7.0 7.5 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 p Vi s i t o r A r r i v a l s ( M i l l i o n s ) VISITOR VOLUME All Overnight Person-Nights Hotel/Motel/STVR Visitor-Nights, 2019p (Percentage of All Overnight) Visitor Air Arrivals at SeaTac International Airport Domestic Flights The estimate of all overnight visitor-nights (the number of nights that all individual visitors stayed in the Seattle Southside) is shown in the top line chart. The overall trend in visitor volume corresponds to the trends in travel spending and related impacts shown previously. In 2019p volume increased about 1.5 percent. More than eighty percent of all visitor nights in the Seattle Southside are attributable to Hotel/Motel/Rented Home stays. This percentage is much greater than for King County and Washington State. (See bar chart to left. STVR are short term rental homes subject to lodging tax.) Visitor air arrivals (domestic only) to SeaTac airport have also increased for the tenth year in a row. (Note: Visitor air arrivals do not include return flights that were initiated at SeaTac, nor passengers making connecting flights.) Source: U.S. Department of Transportation Airline Origin and Destination survey. 72 DEAN RUNYAN ASSOCIATES PAGE 5 DETAILED SPENDING AND VISITOR VOLUME TABLES The following three tables are inter-related. The first, Visitor Spending by Type of Traveler Accommodation, reports the total annual spending estimates for each type of visitor. The second, Average Expenditures for Overnight Visitors, reports the average daily and average trip expenditures for each type of visitor for 2019p. The third table, Overnight Visitor Volume, reports annual visitor volume for each type of visitor. Volume is broken out in terms of trips and nights and visitors (persons) and travel parties. In general, multiplication of an average spending numbers with the appropriate volume number will yield the annual total spending number for that type of visitor. (See appendix B.) Day travel represents less than four percent of all visitor spending in the Seattle Southside ($2.5 million in 2019p). Due to data limitations, reliable estimates of visi tor volume and average expenditures cannot be reported for day travel. 2010 2012 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019p All Overnight 447.1 506.9 588.4 634.1 659.3 688.0 734.4 751.1 Hotel, Motel, STVR* 431.3 489.5 570.2 615.9 640.6 668.7 714.2 730.4 Other Overnight 15.8 17.4 18.2 18.2 18.7 19.2 20.2 20.7 Day Travel 18.9 21.5 23.7 24.4 25.0 25.9 27.5 28.4 Spending at Destination 466.0 528.4 612.1 658.5 684.3 713.9 761.9 779.5 Note: Destination spending does not include ground transportation expenditures for travel to other Washington destinations. STVR stands for short term vacation rentals or rented homes subject to lodging tax. Visitor Spending by Type of Traveler Accommodation ($Million), 2010-2019p Party Length of Day Trip Day Trip Size Stay (nights) Hotel, Motel, STVR $438 $1,039 $208 $487 2.1 2.4 Other Overnight $148 $427 $56 $163 2.6 2.9 All Overnight $389 $968 $183 $451 2.2 2.4 Travel Party Visitor (Person) Average Expenditures for Overnight Visitors, 2019p 2017 2018 2019p 2017 2018 2019p Hotel, Motel, STVR 3,339 3,454 3,515 1,576 1,640 1,666 Other Overnight 575 588 590 256 262 263 All Overnight 3,914 4,043 4,105 1,832 1,902 1,929 2017 2018 2019p 2017 2018 2019p Hotel, Motel, STVR 1,425 1,474 1,500 665 691 703 Other Overnight 160 164 164 71 73 73 All Overnight 1,585 1,638 1,664 736 764 776 Visitor-Trips (000)Party-Trips (000) Overnight Visitor Volume, 2017-2019p Visitor-Nights (000)Party-Nights (000) 73 DEAN RUNYAN ASSOCIATES PAGE 6 DETAILED IMPACT TABLES The following table shows spending estimates for all categories of visitors, including day travel, earnings and employment estimates by industry sector, and travel-generated tax receipts.1 2010 2012 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019p Total Direct Travel Spending ($Million) Destination Spending 466.0 528.4 612.1 658.5 684.3 713.9 761.9 779.5 Other Travel*7.5 9.1 8.4 6.5 6.2 7.3 8.4 8.4 Total Direct Spending 473.5 537.5 620.5 665.0 690.5 721.2 770.3 787.9 Visitor Spending by Commodity Purchased ($Million) Accommodations 158.4 178.5 219.9 250.1 262.8 275.7 294.9 295.9 Food Service 130.0 149.2 171.1 183.8 192.7 201.7 216.6 228.0 Retail, Entertainment & Local Transport 177.6 200.7 221.1 224.6 228.8 236.5 250.4 255.7 Destination Spending 466.0 528.4 612.1 658.5 684.3 713.9 761.9 779.5 Industry Earnings Generated by Travel Spending ($Million) Accom. & Food Serv.111.1 118.5 138.6 147.1 154.3 161.6 175.9 184.9 Retail, Entertainment & Local Transport 36.5 38.7 45.9 47.7 48.9 50.2 54.1 55.4 Total Direct Earnings 147.6 157.2 184.5 194.7 203.2 211.8 230.0 240.3 Industry Employment Generated by Travel Spending (Jobs) Accom. & Food Serv.3,190 3,270 3,580 3,620 3,670 3,720 3,870 3,870 Retail, Entertainment & Local Transport 1,160 1,190 1,260 1,250 1,240 1,230 1,250 1,250 Total Direct Employment 4,350 4,460 4,840 4,870 4,910 4,950 5,120 5,110 Government Revenue Generated by Travel Spending ($Million) Local Tax Receipts 22.7 25.7 30.3 33.3 34.9 36.5 38.5 39.1 State Tax Receipts 25.1 28.2 32.5 35.1 36.9 38.6 40.8 41.8 Total Local & State 47.9 53.9 62.8 68.3 71.8 75.1 79.2 80.9 Details may not add to totals due to rounding. *Other Travel reflects ground transportation expenditures for travel to other Washington destinations. Travel Impacts, 2010-2019p Seattle Southside 1 The economic impacts for the Seattle Southside do not include travel to and from SeaTac International Airport. This passenger air travel accounted for 16,100 jobs with earnings of $1.7 billion in 2019. 74 Shu$le  Bus  Economic  Impact  Study     Prepared  by:   7 5 2   PURPOSE The  purpose  of  the  Sea$le  Southside  Shu$le  Bus  Economic  Impact  Study  was  to  es>mate  shopping   revenue  generated  from  shu$le  bus  riders  as  well  as  provide  a  profile  of  those  who  used  the  shu$le  to   visit  the  WesCield  Southcenter.   Project  Overview   TARGET  AUDIENCE The  Sea$le  Southside  Shu$le  Bus  survey  was  conducted  among  those  riding  the  Shu$le  Bus  for  the  past   9  months.    The  surveys  were  distributed  by  shu$le  drivers  and  passengers  were  asked  to  fill  out  the   surveys  and  return  them  upon  depar>ng  the  shu$les.     SAMPLE A  total  of  1,865  respondents  were  interviewed  for  this  study  providing  a  maximum  margin  of  error  of   +/-­‐2.3%  at  a  95%  confidence  interval.       7 6 Execu>ve  Summary   7 7 4   ▪Travelers  to  the  Sea$le  Southside  area  only  use  a  handful  of  hotels  to  catch  the  shu$le,  and  most  hear  about  the  service  at  the  front  desk  of  their  hotel.     ▪Those  who  use  the  shu$le  to  travel  to  the  WesCield  Southcenter  are  primarily  shopping  and  dining  and  spend   around  3  hours  at  the  shopping  center.     ▪Shu$le  riders  spend  around  $172/person*  on  their  trip  to  the  shopping  center,  with  those  visi>ng  from  outside  the  United  States  spending  more  ($190  vs.  $158).     ▪Shu$le  riders  were  very  sa>sfied  with  their  experience  on  the  shu$le  bus.    More  than  nine  in  ten  riders  indicated  they  were  somewhat/very  sa>sfied  with  the  friendliness  of  the  driver,  the  cleanliness  of  the  shu$le  and  the  comfort  of   the  ride.    Addi>onally,  85%  indicated  they  were  sa>sfied  with  the  >meliness  of  the  shu$le.     ▪Finally,  eight  in  ten  shu$le  riders  would  recommend  the  services  to  their  friends.    However,  the  word-­‐of-­‐mouth   buzz  is  fairly  low  (5%).    Giving  visitors  the  tools  they  need  to  recommend  the  shu$le  service  will  only  help  increase  ridership  and  the  amount  of  money  spent  in  the  area.   Sea;le  Shu;lebus  Offers  Great  Service   4   *An outlier is an observation in a data set that lies a substantial distance from other observations. These unusual observations can have a disproportionate effect on statistical analysis, such as the mean, which can lead to misleading results. Only those who spent more than $25 and less than $1,000 were included in the calculations. 7 8 Thank  You!   Know  Your  Customer   417.877.7808   1717  E  Republic  Road,  Suite  C   Springfield,  MO  65804   @H2RMktResearch   agarou;e@h2rmarketresearch.com   7 9