HomeMy WebLinkAboutCOW 2021-01-25 Item 3 - Presentation - King County Countywide Planning and Growth TargetsKING COUNTY
COUNTYWIDE PLANNING
POLICIES & GROWTH TARGETS 1/25/21
PRESENTATION TO THE KING COUNTY RURAL AREA ORGANIZATIONSPRESENTATION FOR TUKWILA CITY COUNCIL
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TONIGHT’S
AGENDA
GMA Overview
The Growth Management Planning
Council (GMPC)
The Countywide Planning Policies
Growth Targets
Schedule
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IMPLEMENTING THE GROWTH
MANAGEMENT ACT
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GROWTH MANAGEMENT PLANNING
COUNCIL (GMPC)
Established in 1992 via Interlocal Agreement
Convened by the King County Executive
Members representing: King County, City of Seattle, Sound Cities Associations
Ex-Officio members representing: Special Purpose Districts, School Districts, Port of
Seattle
Oversee the Countywide Planning Policies including: the UGA, Growth Targets,
policies for topics of a countywide nature that cross jurisdictional lines
Make recommendations to the King County Council
Ratification: after approval and ratification by the King County Council, approval of
amendments within 90 days by county & cities representing at least 70% of the
population and 30% of those jurisdictions
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ABOUT THE COUNTYWIDE PLANNING
POLICIES
Countywide Planning Policies establish:
Guidance for the comprehensive plans
Urban growth area boundary
Criteria for revising growth boundary
Growth targets for each jurisdiction
Criteria for defining urban centers and
manufacturing/industrial centers
Policies for issues of a countywide nature
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WHY UPDATE
COUNTYWIDE
PLANNING
POLICIES
NOW?
VISION 2050 update + Regional Centers Framework
New growth targets for 2024 Comprehensive Plans
Policy guidance for 2024 Comprehensive Plans
Other policy and legislative changes since 2012
Policy recommendations from GMPC’s Affordable
Housing Committee
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2044 GROWTH
TARGETS
Growth Targets Development Process
Countywide and Regional Geography
allocations
Next Steps
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WHAT ARE GROWTH TARGETS?
Growth targets are:
A policy statement about the amount of housing and jobs
each jurisdiction will plan for in 2024 comprehensive plans
Part of the Countywide Planning Policies
For the urban area only
For at least a 20-year period
Created collaboratively by all cities and King County #
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GROWTH TARGET PROCESS
Regional
Forecast
County
Growth
Projections
Regional
Geography
Allocations
City/PAA
Growth
Target
Ranges
City/PAA
Growth
Targets
Comp
Plans
VISION 2050 Regional Growth Strategy County/Local Factors
OFM PopHU
Process Steps
Data Sources
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GROWTH TARGETS
KEY ASSUMPTIONS + PROCESS
Data Source: PSRC Regional Forecast
Assumptions: Central Puget Sound counties have agreed to use
this forecast for growth target setting
Regional Population and Job Growth 2019-2044:
Regional
Forecast
Population
Growth Job Growth
Region 1,321,700 884,450
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GROWTH TARGETS
KEY ASSUMPTIONS + PROCESS
Data Source: County growth share from VISION 2050 Regional
Growth Strategy
Assumptions: Apply growth share to regional forecasted growth
2019-2044
Countywide Population and Job Growth 2019-2044:
County
Growth
Projections
Population
Growth
Share
Job Growth
Share
King County 50% 59%
Kitsap County 5%5%
Pierce County 21% 17%
Snohomish County 25% 19%11
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GROWTH TARGETS
KEY ASSUMPTIONS + PROCESS
Data Sources:
Regional Geography growth shares from VISION 2050
Regional Growth Strategy
Demographic data from OFM, Census Bureau
Assumptions:
Apply RG growth share to countywide growth 2019-2044
Convert population to housing units with household
assumptions for each Regional Geography
RegionalGeography HousingUnit and Job Growth 2019-2044:
Regional
Geography
Allocations
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GROWTH TARGETS
KEY ASSUMPTIONS + PROCESS
More on Assumptions:
Urban Unincorporated King County’s largest
potential annexation areas are in High Capacity
Transit Communities
Cities in the rural area include affiliated PAA
Targets are not created for the rural area
Household size, vacancy rate, and group
quarters assumptions are unique to Regional
Geographies, and reflect long-term and recent
trends
RegionalGeography HousingUnit and Job Growth 2019-2044:
Regional
Geography
Allocations
Regional Geography
Population
Growth
Share
Job Growth
Share
Metro Cities 44%46%
Core Cities 40%45%
High CapacityTransit
Communities
11%6%
Cities and Towns 5%3%
Urban Unincorporated <1%<1%
Rural 1%<1%
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COUNTYWIDE AND REGIONAL
GEOGRAPHY ALLOCATIONS
2019-2044
Growth Metro Core HCT Cities and Towns
Urban
Unincorporated
Population 288,400 261,900 69,650 33,300 3,000
Housing Units 134,500 112,850 29,950 14,000 1,300
Jobs 223,500 222,800 28,750 12,950 700
*Regional Growth Strategy Rural area growth: 4,200 Housing Units, 2,150 Jobs
King County 2019-2044
Population 660,850
Housing Units 296,800
Jobs 490,850
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Regional
Geography
Allocations
County
Growth
Projections
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COUNTYWIDE PLANNING POLICIES
MILESTONES AND ADOPTION
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CPP Public
Review Draft
GMPC
Approval
King County
Council
Adoption
City
Ratification
March
2021
June
2021
3Q
2021
4Q
2021
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WHAT DOES THIS MEAN FOR TUKWILA?
In 2014 the housing target for Tukwila was set at 4,850 and jobs target was 17,550.
Recently completed Buildable Lands Analysis have an updated housing capacity of 7,255 and job capacity of 20,550.
Next steps will be setting Tukwila’s target. These will be based on PSRC’s forecast and King County’s allocation for core cities. We will taking a deeper dive into the numbers with the City Council to come up with targets for Tukwila. This item is scheduled for the Planning and Community Development Committee next month.
We will provide initial input. There will be additional opportunities to comment during KC public comment. Final action by Tukwila City Council will be ratification of County Wide Planning Policies
Tukwila’s targets will inform Comprehensive Planning work in 2024.
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