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Home My WebLink AboutReg 2024-06-03 Item 4C - Presentation - Resilient Tukwila: Collaborative Climate Action Planning for Sustainable FutureWEVANS SCHOOL UNIVERSITY of WAS UNIVERSITY of WASHINGTON RESILIENT TUKWILA: COLLABORATIVE CLIMATE ACTION PLANNING FOR A SUSTAINABLE FUTURE June 3rd, 2024 By Lauren Hogrewe, Meghan Reckmeyer, Surabhi Subedi, and Valeria Lujan Vega PROJECT OVERVIEW • University of Washington Evans School Student Consulting Lab Project Scope: • Greenhouse Gas (GHG) Inventory Assessment of City of Tukwila • Develop recommendations for a draft City of Tukwila Climate Action Plan (CAP) • Priority strategies and actions • Community engagement • Monitoring and evaluation WHY A CLIMATE ACTION PLAN? Climate change is already impacting the region and its residents. These impacts will intensify and accelerate in the coming decades. WHY A CLIMATE ACTION PLAN? Climate change impacts are certain to continue after GHG emissions are stabilized, meaning that governments must be positioned for long-term climate adaptation. WHY A CLIMATE ACTION PLAN? Strategic planning can reduce future risks and economic consequences. i7Haw•DExllousI WHY A CLIMATE ACTION PLAN? Local governments are on the frontlines of climate impacts and are best positioned to advance community -centered climate resiliency and planning. CITY OF TUKWILA CURRENT CLIMATE POLICIES AND TARGETS 9 2006 WA Commute Trip Reduction Efficiency Act 92009 9 2014 City Non - Motorized Plan (Walk and Roll) City GHG Reduction Program 6 2007 . . City Comprehensive Plan City partnership with King County - Cities Climate Collaborative (K4C) 62011 . 92019 9 2023 King County In - Motion Campaign Green Tukwila 20-Year Plan 62015 . Re+ Pledge Shoreline Master Program 6 2020 6) RESEARCH QUESTION What actions must the City of Tukwila take to prepare for, adapt to, and mitigate climate change? LIMITATIONS • Data Limitations oRegional and county data not specific to Tukwila oGreenhouse gas (GHG) inventory is almost 5 years old; had to rely on projections. • No Direct Community Engagement oOnly interviewed City staff and peer city/county staff COMPARISONS ACROSS KING COUNTY (2019) Per Capita, by Jurisdiction MT CO2e per capita 87.5 BO 60 4C 0.4 r 29.98 MT CO2e 20 Ih111111111111116 7 18.1 17.3 16A 14.6 14.2 14.1 12.0 11.3 11.2 10.5 9.89.59.59.49.49.38.78.68.37.67.45.3 0 Illlillllillllli��■■ Cott go`tiap:,\ aS le ¢ 6‘ 5 NI° \y��e 6Q a e �� ` ya•ti�e`s� a eett e,e `4 6a��p°��`�� Z&L 4� C4o\e Jurisdiction Sector •Built Environment •Refrigerants •Solid Waste &Wastewater •Transportation & Other Mobile Sources TUKWILA'S FORECASTED EMISSIONS TRAJECTORY 1.200.000 1,000.000 800,000 s 600,000 5 400,000 200,000 Forecasted Emissions Reductions eQu 2 Historical emissions estimation Scenario: no action future scenario: federal state, and regional policies only Emissions gap Federal, State, & Regional Policies Targeted emissions • • • • • WA Energy Code WA Clean Buildings Act Federal Vehicle Regulations WA Clean Fuel Standards WA Internal Combustion Engine Ban PSRC Regional Transportation Plan VMT Reductions WA Hydrofluorocarbon Policies WA Clean Energy Transformation Act WA Climate Commitment Act Sector -Specific Plans & Commitments Aviation industry Regional marine, rail, and ferry transport CO N O TUKWILA GREENHOUSE GAS (GHG) INVENTORY ASSESSMENT Refrigerants: 2°/o Solid Waste: 2°/o Built Environment: 45% — Transportation 6. Other Mobile Sources: 51°!0 CLIMATE RISKS -KING COUNTY AND PNW Projected Impacts of Climate Change Projected changes in very hot days, snowpack, and streamflow in Washington State with up to 5.4°F of warming globally. This amount of warming is currently expected as soon as the 2060s (2050-2079) under a high GHG emission scenario. Higher amounts of warming are possible (up to 8.6°F globally) by 2100 under the high GHG scenario. Changes in hot days are relative to 1976-2005; all others are relative to 1970-1999. More very hot days // 1 \\ (above 90°F) Reduced snowpack (April 1°' snow water equivalent) Higher winter streamflow (October -March) Change Change with 2.7°F with 5.4°F Risks (1.5°C) (3.0°C) el 67_, Lower summer streamflow (April -September) Adapted from UW Climate impacts Group (Shover et al. 2019)7 • Heat -related illness and deaths • Warmer streams stressing salmon • More frequent harmful algal blooms • Reduced water storage • Irrigation shortages • Winter and summer recreation losses • River flooding • Costly stormwater management and flood protection • Negative effects on salmon populations • Reduced summer hydropower • Challenges to water supplies • Negative effects on salmon populations N Ni Ni TUKWILA-SPECIFIC RISKS FLOODS AND SEA LEVEL RISE LANDSLIDES RISK 30% of all properties in Tukwila are at risk of flooding Temperatures could be approximately 1-6°F above those in less developed areas Could disrupt traffic and damage nearby homes TUKWILA'S EQUITY VULNERABILITIES • Proximity to Highways o Elevated noise and air pollution • Proximity to Industrial Centers o Exposure to pollutants • Lack of Open Space o Urban Heat Island Effect WA Environmental Health Disparities Map N) MULTI -CRITERIA ANALYSIS CRITERIA Emission Reduction Potential Ease of Implementation Climate Justice and Equity Economic Recovery and Local Resiliency Buildings and Energy Strategy 1: Promote electrification and reduce reliance on fossil fuels in buildings. Actlo mission Reduction Potential Launch regional electric heat pump campaign to replace natural gas - powered Inmates and Increase energy efficiency' In existingcommerc la l an residential buildings. Assess opportunities and create a timeline to deco rbanize municipal buildings through updating assets like appliances and HVAC systems. Join either the Seattle City Light Green Lip Program or Puget Sound Energy's (PS E� Green Direct program to reduce emissions from government operations. Install solar in municipal buildings parking lats, II Encourage businesses, large energy users, and residents to enroll in Puge1� Sound Energy's (PS E) Green Power Program. By Z030, adopt an I electrification ordinance for existing buildings to transition from foss I ifuels to electric systems, 1.l�ifi Ott ll�l AAA ri�tt 1I�11I f! a 01 la r nd Ease of Implementation -07 Climate Justice Equi conamic Recovery& Local Resiliency ANALYSIS MATRIX EXAMPLE N 01 PRIORITY STRATEGIES 1 2 3 Promote electrification and reduce reliance on fossil fuels in buildings. Secure funding and grants for energy efficiency initiatives. Improve building codes and standards. PRIORITY STRATEGIES 1 2 3 Prioritize sustainability, walkability, and dense, mixed -use development in land use planning. Decrease demand for and overall use of personal automobiles. Reduce emissions from government operations and city - owned and operated vehicles. PRIORITY STRATEGIES ii i] Increase waste diversion from landfills and reduce waste generation. Increase education and awareness of waste diversion opportunities. PRIORITY STRATEGIES 1 "r] Preserve, restore, and enhance local natural resources and open spaces. Promote stormwater infrastructure and water efficiency. PRIORITY STRATEGIES 1 Plan for climate change by building staff, business, and community capacity. NEAR TERM CAP ACTIONS TO PRIORITIZE Join regional partners to actively participate in revising the Washington building code and adopt local amendments that go above and beyond the WA State Energy Code. Identify sites in existing lots or other city -owned land for EV charging station projects Adopt a sustainable purchasing policy for municipal purchases. Use climate change predictions for precipitation when replacing, sizing, or adding stormwater infrastructure. Educate and increase awareness among communities about climate impacts and adaptation strategies through regular community engagement events. w W IV COMMUNITY ENGAGEMENT RECOMMENDATIONS ... • flt Promote community awareness and understanding throughout the climate planning process. Offer a wide range of engagement opportunities that vary in the level of commitment, medium/channel, and intended audience to increase accessibility and community involvement. Compensate community members for their participation when possible. IMPLEMENTATION, MONITORING AND EVALUATION • Hire a full-time employee (FTE) Deepen Partnership with K4C CIO Local Governments for Sustainability Join (ICLEI) Local Governments for Sustainability USA Establish a coalition of South King County Cities W W W CALL TO ACTION Allocate fundingfor CAP community engagement Budget for sustainability FTE Endorse Draft CAP THANK YOU! WEVANS SCHOOL OF PUBLIC POLICY & GOVERNANCE UNIVERSITY of WASHINGTON W 01